Memphis
W-L: (17-38) PR = 89.4591Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 11- 7 207 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 6- 4 207 A Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 8-13 208 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 3- 4 208 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 5-13 213 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 2- 6 213 H Miami (OH) MA ( 7- 7, 94.1) 0- 7 214 H Evansville MV ( 0- 4, 89.7) 8- 7 218 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 4- 8 221 H North Carolina A&T CA ( 1- 2, 87.3) 5- 8 221 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 1- 7 222 A Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 16- 3 226 A Southern SWAC ( 2- 3, 87.3) 4-10 227 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 2-11 227 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 2-11 228 A Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 5- 2 228 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 7 301 A Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 8 301 A Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 8 303 H Oakland HL ( 1- 5, 91.9) 5- 4 303 H Oakland HL ( 1- 5, 91.9) 2- 1 306 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 4- 9 306 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 3-12 308 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 5 313 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3-14 314 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 1- 5 315 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 6 318 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0-15 320 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 2- 1 321 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 3- 6 322 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 5-16 325 A Jackson State SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.2) 8- 5 325 A Jackson State SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.2) 17- 6 327 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 3-13 328 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 3- 3 329 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 7- 6 331 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0-10 402 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 3 403 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 1- 2 404 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 1- 5 407 H Alabama A&M SWAC ( 0- 2, 82.7) 8- 1 407 H Alabama A&M SWAC ( 0- 2, 82.7) 12- 4 410 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 2- 3 411 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 5- 8 412 A Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 4- 5 414 H Alcorn State SWAC ( 0- 4, 87.6) 7- 2 417 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 0 417 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 2- 4 419 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 9- 7 422 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 6- 7 424 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1-10 425 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 4- 7 426 A Wisconsin B10 (32-22, 93.8) 4- 5 430 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 5 501 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 2-15 502 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Toledo 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.14
207 H Toledo 6- 4 2 0 1.66
207 A Texas State 8-13 -5 -5 -0.11
208 A Arizona State 3- 4 -1 -8 +++ 6.73
208 H Northwestern 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.78
213 H Ball State 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.46
213 H Miami (OH) 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.15
214 H Evansville 8- 7 1 1 0.45
218 A Mississippi State 4- 8 -4 -8 + 3.81
221 H North Carolina A&T 5- 8 -3 3 -- -5.92
221 H Kentucky 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.47
222 A Santa Clara 16- 3 13 -2 +++ 14.59
226 A Southern 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.41
227 H Iowa 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.24
227 A LSU 2-11 -9 -8 -0.69
228 A Nicholls 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 6.65
228 A LSU 0- 7 -7 -8 1.31
301 A Nicholls 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.65
301 A Nicholls 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.65
303 H Oakland 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.72
303 H Oakland 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.72
306 H South Florida 4- 9 -5 -3 -1.76
306 H South Florida 3-12 -9 -3 -- -5.76
308 H South Florida 2- 5 -3 -3 0.24
313 A UTSA 3-14 -11 -2 --- -9.37
314 A UTSA 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.37
315 A UTSA 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.37
318 H Oklahoma 0-15 -15 -10 -- -4.30
320 H East Carolina 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.08
321 H East Carolina 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.92
322 H East Carolina 5-16 -11 -1 --- -9.92
325 A Jackson State 8- 5 3 4 -0.56
325 A Jackson State 17- 6 11 4 +++ 7.44
327 A North Texas 3-13 -10 -4 --- -6.26
328 A Utah Valley 3- 3 0 -3 + 2.60
329 H Tulsa 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.64
331 H Ole Miss 0-10 -10 -5 -- -4.90
402 A UAB 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.75
403 A UAB 1- 2 -1 -3 1.75
404 A UAB 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.25
407 H Alabama A&M 8- 1 7 7 -0.50
407 H Alabama A&M 12- 4 8 7 0.50
410 A Charlotte 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.58
411 A Charlotte 5- 8 -3 -4 0.58
412 A Charlotte 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.58
414 H Alcorn State 7- 2 5 3 + 2.43
417 H North Texas 2- 4 -2 -2 0.26
419 H North Texas 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.26
422 A Middle Tennessee 6- 7 -1 -2 0.53
424 H Florida Atlantic 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.54
425 H Florida Atlantic 4- 7 -3 -4 1.46
426 A Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 -5 ++ 4.11
430 H South Florida 2- 5 -3 -3 0.24
501 A Wichita State 2-15 -13 -6 --- -7.06
502 A Wichita State 5-10 -5 -6 0.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Southern 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.41 227 H Iowa 2-11 -9 -3 --- -6.24 313 A UTSA 3-14 -11 -2 --- -9.37 322 H East Carolina 5-16 -11 -1 --- -9.92 327 A North Texas 3-13 -10 -4 --- -6.26 501 A Wichita State 2-15 -13 -6 --- -7.06 221 H North Carolina A&T 5- 8 -3 3 -- -5.92 306 H South Florida 3-12 -9 -3 -- -5.76 318 H Oklahoma 0-15 -15 -10 -- -4.30 331 H Ole Miss 0-10 -10 -5 -- -4.90 424 H Florida Atlantic 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.54 208 H Northwestern 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.78 213 H Ball State 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.46 213 H Miami (OH) 0- 7 -7 -4 - -3.15 221 H Kentucky 1- 7 -6 -4 - -2.47 314 A UTSA 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Arizona State 3- 4 -1 -8 +++ 6.73 222 A Santa Clara 16- 3 13 -2 +++ 14.59 228 A Nicholls 5- 2 3 -4 +++ 6.65 325 A Jackson State 17- 6 11 4 +++ 7.44 206 A Toledo 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.14 402 A UAB 5- 3 2 -3 ++ 4.75 419 H North Texas 9- 7 2 -2 ++ 4.26 426 A Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 -5 ++ 4.11 218 A Mississippi State 4- 8 -4 -8 + 3.81 301 A Nicholls 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.65 301 A Nicholls 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.65 303 H Oakland 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.72 303 H Oakland 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.72 320 H East Carolina 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.08 328 A Utah Valley 3- 3 0 -3 + 2.60 329 H Tulsa 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.64 410 A Charlotte 2- 3 -1 -4 + 2.58 412 A Charlotte 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.58 414 H Alcorn State 7- 2 5 3 + 2.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 11- 7 -10.04 9.33 0.74 0.45 9.06
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 6- 4 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.45 7.73
3 A Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 8-13 -6.29 13.08 0.74 0.45 -1.25
3 A Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 3- 4 -3.45 15.92 0.74 0.45 -0.61
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 5-13 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.45 -1.17
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 2- 6 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.45 -2.00
3 H Miami (OH) ( 7- 7, 94.1) 0- 7 -5.85 13.52 -0.74 0.45 -1.48
3 H Evansville ( 0- 4, 89.7) 8- 7 -10.25 9.12 -0.74 0.45 7.54
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 4- 8 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.45 -0.59
3 H North Carolina ( 1- 2, 87.3) 5- 8 -12.62 6.75 -0.74 0.45 -3.01
3 H Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 1- 7 -6.17 13.20 -0.74 0.45 -1.56
3 A Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 16- 3 -9.59 9.78 0.74 0.45 9.47
3 A Southern ( 2- 3, 87.3) 4-10 -12.59 6.78 0.74 0.45 -2.67
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 2-11 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.45 -1.73
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 2-11 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 5- 2 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.45 11.33
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0- 7 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 8 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.45 -1.53
3 A Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 7- 8 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.45 -1.53
3 H Oakland ( 1- 5, 91.9) 5- 4 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.45 9.58
3 H Oakland ( 1- 5, 91.9) 2- 1 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.45 9.58
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 4- 9 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.45 -1.62
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 3-12 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.45 -1.62
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 5 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.45 -1.62
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 3-14 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.45 -1.98
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 1- 5 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.45 -1.98
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 3- 6 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.45 -1.98
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0-15 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 2- 1 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.45 9.01
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 3- 6 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.45 -2.11
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 5-16 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.45 -2.11
3 A Jackson State ( 0- 6, 85.2) 8- 5 -14.74 4.63 0.74 0.45 4.83
3 A Jackson State ( 0- 6, 85.2) 17- 6 -14.74 4.63 0.74 0.45 4.83
3 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 3-13 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.45 -1.51
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 3- 3 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.45 0.00
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 7- 6 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.45 9.51
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 0-10 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.45 -1.20
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 5- 3 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.45 10.52
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 1- 2 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.45 -1.73
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 1- 5 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.45 -1.73
3 H Alabama A&M ( 0- 2, 82.7) 8- 1 -17.20 2.17 -0.74 0.45 1.29
3 H Alabama A&M ( 0- 2, 82.7) 12- 4 -17.20 2.17 -0.74 0.45 1.29
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 2- 3 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.45 -1.54
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 5- 8 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.45 -1.54
3 A Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 4- 5 -7.60 11.77 0.74 0.45 -1.54
3 H Alcorn State ( 0- 4, 87.6) 7- 2 -12.27 7.10 -0.74 0.45 5.72
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 0 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.45 10.07
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 2- 4 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.45 -1.84
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 9- 7 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.45 10.07
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 6- 7 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.45 -2.01
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 1-10 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 4- 7 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
3 A Wisconsin (32-22, 93.8) 4- 5 -6.07 13.30 0.74 0.45 -1.20
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 5 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.45 -1.62
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 2-15 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.45 -1.01
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 5-10 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.45 -1.01
------
73.97
|
winning pts = 131.4252 losing points = -57.4559
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------